2023 - A property retrospective, then and now
Category News
As we find ourselves nearing the close of 2023, it's an opportune time to reflect on the state of the property market in South Africa. From industrial hubs to bustling retail spaces, office complexes, and the comforts of residential abodes, the property landscape has changed significantly over the past year.
The state of the market
South Africa's property and real estate market has diversified substantially. According to Rode's State of the Property Market for Q2 2023, the industrial property sector remains a stronghold among the major commercial property types. This is despite showing signs of slowing down, with weaker rental and stand value growth. The economy's state and pressure on manufacturing and retail sectors, exacerbated by the electricity crisis, have played their part.
In contrast, the retail property market made a triumphant comeback in 2022 but faces recent challenges. Weaker retail sales performance and higher shopping centre vacancy rates have led to higher capitalisation rates for regional malls.
The office property market, on the other hand, still grapples with oversupply issues, putting it at the bottom of the hierarchy. Although there are signs of improvement in vacancy rates and positive nominal market rental growth, contractual rentals have escalated more than market rentals. The outlook remains uncertain, primarily influenced by the economy and remote working trends.
Meanwhile, the residential property market has seen a slowdown due to factors such as a weakening economy, rising living costs, and interest rate hikes. Nominal house prices grew at their slowest rate since July 2020, with real prices declining. Flats and apartments have experienced better vacancy rates and rental growth, but sales are impacted by reduced affordability.
Stagnant interest rates - Hovering below 15%
One of the significant factors influencing 2023's property market is the trajectory of interest rates. Interest rates have hovered below the 15% mark, impacting property buyers and investors. The gradual rise in rates has affected the affordability of homes and investment properties, potentially dampening demand.
Residential vs. commercial
The stark contrast between the residential and office property markets is quite evident. While the residential market faces headwinds, office spaces are gradually adapting to the new normal. Remote working trends have challenged the demand for traditional office spaces. However, there is still a need for physical office spaces, albeit with new hybrid models where employees spend some time in the office and time at home.
The need for additional market value
Amidst the market challenges, property owners are exploring ways to enhance the value of their assets. Installing solar panels, adding swimming pools, and creating wine cellars or entertainment areas are among the strategies being adopted. These enhancements not only make properties more attractive to potential buyers but also contribute to sustainability and comfort.
Is it worth investing in property?
Despite the ups and downs, investing in property remains a beneficial and relatively safe endeavour in 2023. The industrial property sector, despite slowing down, continues to offer steady rental income and low vacancy rates in many regions.
In the retail sector, opportunities still exist for savvy investors to identify areas with growth potential and turn around struggling retail spaces. The recovery of retail sales could lead to improvements in this sector.
The office market may be facing challenges, but as businesses adapt to hybrid work models, there will still be a demand for office spaces. Investing in well-located and well-designed office properties remains a viable option.
On the residential front, while the market may have slowed, owning a home is a long-term investment. Property values tend to appreciate over time, and those who can weather short-term fluctuations may find value in real estate.
South Africa's dynamic property market
The property market in South Africa in 2023 reflects a mix of challenges and opportunities across different segments. Investors and homeowners need to stay informed, assess their goals, and consider long-term strategies when navigating this dynamic landscape. Whether you're looking for steady rental income, a place to call home, or an opportunity to enhance property value, the property market continues to offer a variety of avenues for success in 2023 despite the various challenges we may face.
Our doors are always open! Visit our website https://www.homesofdistinction.co.za/agents/ or pop by our offices for a chat. Our friendly property practitioners are always available to assist in this regard.
Homes of Distinction CC holds a Fidelity Fund Certificate issued by the Property Practitioners Regulatory Authority.
Author: Bryce Anderson
